Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 10.032042 11.590234 13.259071 15.173521 17.302985 19.592859 22.235252
2025-06-29 8.131179 10.176394 12.503078 15.325904 18.637001 22.376397 26.896450
2025-07-06 6.846751 9.173744 11.958570 15.495597 19.824027 24.902862 31.263563
2025-07-13 6.024143 8.567038 11.746070 15.942783 21.261508 27.698902 35.992453
2025-07-20 5.323673 7.999124 11.479815 16.236398 22.453239 30.182509 40.384168
2025-07-27 4.648449 7.366576 11.040165 16.226180 23.200216 32.086045 44.072751
2025-08-03 3.888926 6.516453 10.210506 15.600710 23.059271 32.795582 46.212574
2025-08-10 3.373078 5.951891 9.710871 15.361605 23.381358 34.075067 49.086519
2025-08-17 2.905970 5.401434 9.172090 15.008125 23.496181 35.046420 51.546552
2025-08-24 2.550544 4.982204 8.783345 14.828327 23.820188 36.283703 54.371392
2025-08-31 2.205490 4.536186 8.308749 14.475193 23.856122 37.098266 56.615443
2025-09-07 1.997480 4.298817 8.138466 14.563960 24.526873 38.807597 60.128526
2025-09-14 1.773636 4.008380 7.859547 14.466073 24.915026 40.131386 63.151698
2025-09-21 1.621938 3.832273 7.753944 14.631243 25.699967 42.042925 67.052610
2025-09-28 1.487467 3.672024 7.659672 14.802754 26.492453 43.979566 71.030655
2025-10-05 1.405820 3.606699 7.724723 15.237420 27.708100 46.571532 76.018502
2025-10-12 1.310094 3.500133 7.704953 15.522137 28.688631 48.830590 80.564617
2025-10-19 1.185200 3.314864 7.523512 15.512931 29.186287 50.362494 84.061143
2025-10-26 1.003829 2.977807 7.024414 14.909910 28.675592 50.319984 85.187493
2025-11-02 0.884898 2.765404 6.745866 14.679440 28.765242 51.198572 87.710704
2025-11-09 0.768676 2.540483 6.420476 14.338651 28.645780 51.734068 89.709949
2025-11-16 0.680857 2.371994 6.194176 14.165327 28.799578 52.698536 92.381127
2025-11-23 0.589138 2.176759 5.891995 13.824920 28.641156 53.147267 94.249202